Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: Odds, Picks 5/20/23

The Las Vegas Aces will take on the Seattle Storm in the opening game of the season. According to the opening betting odds, the Aces are heavily favored with a spread of -12 and a total of 168.5.

However, my model suggests a much closer game with the Aces projected to win by only 7.1 points and a lower total of 160.3.

Aces vs. Storm Lineups & Injuries

Aces Projected Starting Lineup: Chelsea Gray, Kelsey Plum, Jackie Young, Candace Parker, A’ja Wilson
Aces Injury Report: None

Storm Projected Starting Lineup: Sami Whitcomb, Jewell Loyd, Kia Nurse, Ezi Magbegor, Mercedes Russell,
Storm Injury Report: None

Aces vs. Storm Odds, Picks & Predictions

For the first pick, my model projects the Las Vegas Aces to win by a smaller spread of -7.1 points compared to the opening betting line of -12 for the Aces against the Seattle Storm.

Although the Aces are without their coach, Becky Hammon, due to suspension, I still think they have the talent to win this game. However, 12 points feels too heavy. Therefore, I am taking the underdog Seattle Storm with the points at +12 for a potentially profitable betting pick.

For the second pick, my model suggests taking the under between the Las Vegas Aces and Seattle Storm.

While the opening betting line is set at 168.5 points, my model projects a lower total of 160.3 points. I think that the Storm will struggle to score this season and that it will start at home against the Aces.

The value in this bet comes from the difference between the opening line and my model’s projected total, as well as my confidence in the Storm’s inability to put up a lot of points.

Therefore, I suggest taking the Under 168.5 points for this game.